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221.
Stephen Woo |
| 2016-08-31 20:23 |
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我會揀zetland多過wolli creek. zetland 近city, wolli creek比較遠. wolli creek 無配套,只得一間woolworth, zetland 有個East Village shopping centre.
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222.
kts |
| 2016-09-01 09:22 |
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睇你系自住定投資，如投資放租, Zetland 當然較好，有車冇車都方便，但預左多大6人，如自住的話，除非你冇車牌，否則吾會㨂Zetland, Sydney 有車牌其實住邊都差不多，within 10 to 15km from city 都可接受
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223.
歷史長河 |
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| 2016-12-30 22:42 |
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2016年澳洲房市也同樣歷經磨難：
二月，Jonathan Tepper拿出一份「私密」調查報告要推倒房市：預言澳洲房價將大跌50%;
五月，由Westpac突然帶頭，四大銀行陸續開始嚴限以海外收入來申請貸款；
六月，新州開徵額外的海外人士印花稅4%；並且從2017年起，海外人士的房子每年還要加收0.75%土地稅。
七月，維州把海外人士物業印花稅從3%提高到7%；而四大銀行全面收緊信貸，所有海外買家瞬間被取消貸款機會；
九月，ISSA國際問題專家Gregory Copley說：太多公寓將無法完成交割，澳洲房市將在6周內崩盤；
十月，昆州額外開徵海外人士物業印花稅3% ； ................
然并鳥。截止到11月份澳洲各大capital city 2016年樓市回報如下，如果你選擇了悉尼或墨爾本，請接受我的的祝賀。
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224.
引刀一快 |
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| 2016-12-31 03:17 |
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225.
歷史長河 |
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| 2016-12-31 09:41 |
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刀兄， 唔好亂噏。有字典嗎？可以査一下 dwelling 係咩意思。唔識睇圖註釋可以請教下你師傅先。
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226.
引刀一快 |
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| 2016-12-31 16:54 |
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成交量呢？呎價？
如果house only刺激咗你，請接受我的的賠罪。
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227.
歷史長河 |
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| 2016-12-31 22:04 |
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刀兄，
貼圖只是為走出去的師兄們打氣，估唔到引起你咁大興趣。刀兄也有興趣走出去？
成交量同呎價雙雙創歷史新低，咁講收貨嗎？
新年快樂，來年再戰。哈哈
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228.
引刀一快 |
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| 2016-12-31 23:07 |
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長河san
澳洲興趣一般，唔係因為論壇因素，而係因為我鐘意東洋界同新熱帶界，尤其東洋界 。
成交量同呎價只係好奇隨口問問，如果又刺激到你，唯有請你再接受我的的賠罪。
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229.
歷史長河 |
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| 2016-12-31 23:10 |
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230.
引刀一快 |
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| 2016-12-31 23:50 |
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長河san，你係search王，一搜就出嚟喇，農務系係鐘意呢D嘢架。
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231.
Stephen Woo |
| 2018-02-22 10:32 |
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232.
歷史長河 |
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| 2018-02-22 20:49 |
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Stephen 兄別來無恙啊！新年快樂。
今年的主要任務還是上會。原本今年只是剩下個小尾巴，可是原定去年交貨的不少都推遲到了今年。現在銀行借貸政策多變，還是要謹慎為上。等全部settle 之後再說下一步吧。
今天朋友圈有人罵我是文人雅士，咁就索性扮一下啦。借用畫家詩人老樹的二首詩概括我現在的想法：
「 靜心待花期，無為自有為」。共勉之
【立春】 風來傳消息，枝上晾春衣。 江河水乍暖，靜心待花期。
【驚蟄】 大地春又回，長空裂驚雷。 萬物生欲動，無為自有為。
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233.
車公廟 |
| 2018-02-22 22:36 |
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234.
aa+ |
| 2018-02-23 14:09 |
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長河兄,
好久不见你的平论了。
能说一下2018者香港楼市的看法吗?
去年升了好多啊。
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235.
歷史長河 |
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| 2018-02-26 21:51 |
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aa+ 兄，是啊，我現在同各位師兄師姐一樣，不再公開談樓市了（只是私下聊而已）。等時機合適時再說吧！共勉之
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237.
aa+ |
| 2018-02-26 23:01 |
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238.
歷史長河 |
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| 2018-06-30 12:26 |
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Hi aa*
I had recently talked about this minor correction with some friends, but happy to chip in with my perspectives about Sydney. Happy to be corrected if wrong, though I suspect only time will tell. I am not familiar with Perth, only thing I heard is the market has been in downturn for years after the mining boom ceased. So let’s talk about Sydney.
This is not the big correction some are suggesting. Sure it is in a correction, but it will be gentle and will be 12-18 months max. I am thinking units to decline by 5-7%, and houses by 7-9% max and most of the declines haven't shown up in the data yet due to the usual lags: we are half way through the correction already, and it will be finished by this time next year latest. It might be good time to buy around Christmas if people are interested at investing there.
Only 30% of the property market is for investors - so we are not talking about a market that is vulnerable to shocks in the same way that a proper investment market is, such as stocks. Real estate is part investment, part commodity. Everyone is either a renter or a buyer, so it is a very stable asset.
The 2009-2012 correction wasn't that long ago, and property simply doesn't crash as frequently as some are suggesting. The correction will be mild, and rents will increase in this period to even out yields.
Population is growing, and this particular correction will be relatively short lived. There will be larger corrections, but they will not happen this decade.
Time will tell, and I could certainly be wrong. Happy to discuss. Over to you...
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239.
aa* |
| 2018-06-30 23:34 |
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240.
歷史長河 |
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| 2018-07-02 10:07 |
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又搵到一幅圖供參考。Note 這是增長率，不是樓價。負值區間才是下跌期。
該圖大概帶來如下信息： 首先，各大城市房价的最高点，是不在一起的，各有各精彩。但是它们往下探时，却会凑到一起。这个容易理解：当政府要控制房价时，基本上全国都受影响。
其次：房价往下走的低谷，在过去20年，大概有七次，但真正进入负增长的，只有四次，现在是第四次。
第三个特点是，这些低谷期基本上都在一年以下，最长的也不超过两年。这就告诉你，如无意外，这次房价下跌，很有可能也就一两年...
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